The following is brought to us by Jimmy H. who left this as a comment on my last entry but, I felt was important to make sure all read this. This explains the whole reason why your chances of recurrence is higher during the first five years and diminishes as the years go on. Thank you for the perspective!
I swear there is an 8% chance every day that I will have a cheese burger for lunch when I leave the house. For the rest of my life that is going to be huge amount of cheese burgers.
But your 8% is total for your life, which we will call PLE (which is what about 102 and surly (maybe its a fun surly)).
PLE (Pam's Life Expectancy) - PRA (Pam's Real Age) = PTTL (Pam's TTL) (Total Time to Live, a networking term, its funny!)
So the chance of a recurrence in any one years is:
PTTL = 8 years 1%
PTTL = 16 years .5%
PTTL = 24 years .33%
PTTL = 57 years 0.1403509%
I will eat about 29.2 Cheese Burgers this year. (This will cause me to run 93.44 miles to offset the calorie input of the burgers.)
The prognosis is pretty damn good!
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