If you have read my blog in the early days you know how I feel about prognosis. Stats that are fairly meaningless but they are all we have. So here's the deal with chemo I have a 8% chance of recurrence which I prefer to look at as a 92% that it won't come back. That's pretty damned good. Don't know if you get those odds when we leave the house but out the front door we go.
That has not changed. I still have the same prognosis which is pretty damned good.
I swear there is an 8% chance every day that I will have a cheese burger for lunch when I leave the house. For the rest of my life that is going to be huge amount of cheese burgers.
ReplyDeleteBut your 8% is total for your life, which we will call PLE (which is what about 102 and surly (maybe its a fun surly)).
PLE (Pam's Life Expectancy) - PRA (Pam's Real Age) = PTTL (Pam's TTL) (Total Time to Live, a networking term, its funny!)
So the chance of a recurrence in any one years is:
PTTL = 8 years 1%
PTTL = 16 years .5%
PTTL = 24 years .33%
PTTL = 57 years 0.1403509%
I will eat about 29.2 Cheese Burgers this year. (This will cause me to run 93.44 miles to offset the calorie input of the burgers.)
The prognosis is pretty damn good!
Thanks for the perspective! It's why recurrence is more likely during the first five years and then they stop worrying about you so much.
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